Jason’s Substack

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Putin Has Set the Conditions for His Own Demise

Extreme internal coercion gives Vladimir Putin total short-term obedience at the price of operational reality and long-term defeat.

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Jason Jay Smart
Aug 12, 2026
∙ Paid

Autocracy has a fatal design flaw: when truth becomes dangerous, lying becomes survival. The Soviets learned this the hard way, yet Vladimir Putin built a system where reports are judged not by reality, but by how neatly they feed his illusions.

When bad news carries a death sentence, lying becomes survival. Putin didn’t eliminate military failure, he ju…

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