Moscow keeps betting that new weapons, better communications, and fresh battlefield tactics can change the direction of the war. Russia is cutting back Kinzhal production, shifting toward cheaper missiles, and trying to build its own satellite network while Ukraine strikes the factories and communications infrastructure behind those programs. Russia can keep changing the hardware, but the deeper weaknesses inside its military remain.
Putin makes a habit of pretending to understand how a military functions. He does not. His own corruption is a major point of failure for both the Russian military and Russian state.
On the ground, Russian troops can still push forward, but those advances often leave exposed supply lines and narrow positions that become difficult to hold. The same command system keeps producing inflated reports, repeated claims of captured territory, and pressure on officers to report the victories Moscow expects. That leaves commanders making decisions based on a battlefield picture that often does not match reality.
Meanwhile, Russia is still attacking, still producing weapons, and still adapting to Ukrainian defenses, but those changes have not produced the breakthrough Moscow needs. Corrupt command, weak logistics, poor training, and enormous losses continue to limit what Russian forces can achieve. The longer that continues, the harder it becomes for the Kremlin to turn costly local advances into anything resembling a decisive military success.
Former Navy SEAL Squadron Leader Chuck Pfarrer & Jason Smart, joining from Kyiv, Ukraine, lay out what is really going on now in the war and inside Russia.
Thank you Vladislav Davidzon, THE TRAJECTORY, PaulM, Jay, Shirley Figueroa, and many others for tuning into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app.
